A world in economic crisis

A world in Turmoil, and Portugal heads for collapse

Portugal is the latest of the PIGS nations in Europe to head for collapse. Already we have seen Greece, Ireland and Spain reach the critical level, and now it seems that Portugal has finally admitted that it needs help. The implications for countries such as the UK is that the necessity to fund the rescue package will hit the pocket of every man, woman and child. However, if Portugal does not end its Socialist practices, and if Portugal does not cut the unnecessary spending, then there is no real hope.  (I will post something else on this subject when I learn more about what is happening).

However, the collapse of Portugal is small potatoes compared to some of the other crises in the world. Earlier this year, Christchurch suffered its second devasting earthquake in a matter of months. The first one in September left lots of damage, but there were no deaths or injuries. The epicentre was close to a town near Rolleston. It happened in the middle of the night, so that no one was around when a few buildings collapsed. Probably the worst damaged building at the time was the Anglican Cathedral. At least when we had a tour that included Christchurch, we saw the fencing around the cathedral indicating that there was a danger of collapse and people getting injured. However, when the shallow quake at Lyttleton harbour struck, it led to a devastating loss of life, widespread destruction and an economic disaster for New Zealand, as well as the insurance industry. The final death toll was more than 160 persons killed, with hundreds injured, including those who had limbs amputated. Several families have been left without a mother or a father.

Unfortunately, the earthquake in New Zealand has been overshadowed by the devastating magnitude 9.0 quake and tsunami in Japan. Thousands have lost their lives and thousands have been left homeless, with many small towns being almost wiped out by a tsunami that was around 32 ft or approximate 12-14 metres in height.  It is this quake that will have financial aftershocks for Japan well into the future.

The problem in Japan is not so much the devastation to property and the wiping out of thousands of people, but the nuclear accident at Fukushima that followed the quake and tsunami. As a short background, the nuclear reactors at the Daiichi and Danii plants shut down as expected when the quake hit. The generators started so that the reactors could continue to operate and cool down. There was no damage at this point to the housing of the reactors. However, the tsunami was much larger than anticipated and the 14 ft wave took out the generators that were providing the emergency power to the Daiichi plant. The battery operated generators kicked in, but these only had 8 hours of life.  It was after these died that the real problems began at the Daiichi plant.  There was an explosion at the nr 1 reactor. The outer concrete housing partially collapsed, but the inner steel housing survived. The explosion was explained as being the result of a build up of hydrogen. This was followed by an explosion in the 2nd reactor, and then another in the 3rd reactor.  In one case, the one I believe was due to human error, the rods were exposed to air for 140 minutes, which has led to a partial meltdown of the core.  It is in this reactor, where it is believed that the containment unit was damaged.  The Japanese are struggling to bring everything under control again. This accident is on a par with the accident at Three Mile Island.

The most devastating part about this kind of accident is that radiation is released into the atmosphere. This is what has happened at the Daiichi plant. At first the releases were small, and the over-reaction from the anti-nuclear lobby has been a joke, but the levels of radiation from the later explosions have been cause for concern in Japan, as well as in countries that have been importing Japanese food products. In Tokyo the levels of radiation are high enough to be considered dangerous to babies, and several farms outside of Fukushima have had traces of radiation discovered on their produce, meaning that they cannot sell their product on the open market.

As the exports stop for foodstuffs, Japan will suffer some economic consequences, but hopefully this will be short-lived.  It is too soon to tell how this will hurt the Japanese economy. At the same time, thousands of foreigners have fled from Tokyo and Japan out of fear of the impact of the radiation. Again, there will be some economic consequences to Japan because of this flight of foreign workers. This is all on top of the losses sustained because of the earthquake and Tsunami.

At the same time, the Middle East has broken out in a fever of revolution. It started in Tunisia, then Egypt caught the bug, followed by Morrocco, Syria, Bahrain and then Libya. Whilst I have concerns about some of these countries because there is a very real possibility of them falling into the hands of Muslim Brotherhood, there is one country that is a stand out, mainly because of the brutal manner in which its leader, Moammer Gadhaffi has attempted to put down the revolt.  As a result of the humanitarian crisis, the UN responded with sanctions against the regime in Libya, followed by Resolution 1973 which led to the bombing of Gadhafi’s military bases. That action saved Benghazi from a promised massive slaughter.

This turmoil in the Middle East might be just a hiccup, but it has consequences in the form of oil price rises. This is the 1970s redux.

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6 Responses

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  1. Carlyle said, on March 27, 2011 at 2:16 am

    Thank you for a wise and sane report.

    • Aussie said, on March 27, 2011 at 7:18 am

      When I have prepared something I will post a link here relating to the Libyan situation.

      It is a lot more complex than the journalists have led us to believe. The protests had their roots in protests that occurred in the 1990s, including an attempted coup. Zintan is the town where the relatives of the army officers who staged the coup lived…. interesting. Also, I need to follow up on the links of the small group associated with Al Qaeda. Yes, there are some Islamists who do want to take advantage of the situation. However, the people who have formed the transitional government are not Islamists (despite one person leading the fight at Adjabiyah being a former Al Qaeda type – I think describing him as the leader is actually a real stretch)

      I will need to do a lot of reading. However, I will not be posting that here, so I will provide a link.

      • Aussie said, on March 28, 2011 at 3:04 pm

        here is the link:

        http://qanatruth.wordpress.com/

        I will be adding information to this particular blog.

        The story of Emani al Obaidi is hot because of how it all took place. The NY Slimes has a big article on the subject, with a lot of detail. There are some real money quotes in the NY Slimes article, particularly about the staff who turned out to be Daffy operatives… and I might add that Emani al Obaidi helped to expose them!!

  2. Carlyle said, on March 29, 2011 at 3:03 am

    Some SANE Analysis

    The PRICE of Taxing the Rich

    The heartbreaking thing is that ECONOMISTS have known this – in detail – for over 70 years. But the implications are not Politically Correct so such economists are pushed under the rug. Academia and government are full of “wishful thinking” economists instead of “realist” economists. In addition “Mob Rule” at the polls – especially plebiscites – are DEATH to ANY economy. As soon as 51% discover they can vote (i.e. legally steal) all the money to themselves earned by the other 49%, THE CURTAIN FALLS.

    Seen at: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704604704576220491592684626.html

    • Aussie said, on March 29, 2011 at 2:41 pm

      I cannot view WSJ posts. However, I do know that there is a point where the people will call the pollies out on their lying, etc. etc.

      The thumping received by the NSW ALP is a case in point. More significantly is that the Independents got bounced in at least two electorates. This is significant because it has Federal consequences.

      Juliar-the Marxist – Gillard is attempting to bring in a carbon dioxide tax. People are seeing right through it all and they are furious.

      This tax is nothing more than an income redistribution scheme, but it hurts people in the ALP heartland.

      The watermelon party did not do well in this particular election, just like in Victoria. They have been pushing all of their fairies at the bottom of the garden type of policies. It is about time that people woke up to their crap.

      The latest is that the watermelons are squawking about taxes on the “rich” companies, but these are people who have no idea when it comes to taxation.

  3. DymhTN said, on April 19, 2011 at 4:14 pm

    I want to post quick hello and want to say appriciate for this good article. tf6OL0cZLB8bDR


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